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The Screaming Moderate

How to stop Trump?

5/30/2017

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Back some decades ago, there was a war going on in Southeast Asia that became very unpopular with the American people, especially the young people who were drafted to fight and die in it. Millions protested against the country’s leadership for a long time. They were mocked at first but then not so much and the war was ended. Democracy (the people) won.

Back to that later.

Donald Trump is a threat to the American way of life. Not all of the country feels that way, but most of it does. I don't say that lightly. I say it based on his approach to the presidency and the world around us.

He demonstrated that on his first foreign trip when he hugged and smiled with leaders of Arab countries that are not America’s best friends and then insulted and pushed aside America’s longest-standing allies in Europe. Allies who have fought and died with us. That was after he laughed it up with Russia's top leaders in the Oval Office, images captured only by Kremlin cameras because Trump didn't allow the American press into the office.

The German leader said after Trump left town that Germany needs to go it alone now, a direct shot at Trump. Sure, she is in an election race at the moment but her comments were not couched. They were direct. And the new leader of France had a hand-shaking contest with Trump to show he won’t be pushed around and then walked right at him only to veer off at the last minute to shake the German leader’s hand. Intended as a slight to Trump. Point taken.

This is the United States President being treat this way. The soon-to-be former leader of the free world. And, unfortunately, he’s earned the treatment. But it isn't Trump being diminished alone. It is the country.

At home, while Trump was on his Insult Our Allies World Tour, details of his budget were beginning to seep out along with other developments. Like rolling back civil rights protections for minorities, more evidence of cutbacks in return for tax cuts for the wealthy, more drips out of the Trump Campaign-Russia investigation, these directly tying Trump’s son-in-law not yet to any criminal acts, but certainly as a central player in the at-minimum inappropriate contacts with Russians during the transition. For example asking for back-channel meetings with the Russians without telling the sitting President’s team, who was at that moment responsible for foreign relations. And asking for those meetings to be in Russian facilities, apparently to give  protection against information leaking out.  Read that again – the son-in-law of the President-elect of the United States wanted meetings with the Russians to be held in Russian facilities to protect communications. From whom, Mr. Kushner – the American government?

At a minimum that raises questions about his judgment – that on top of his advice to his father-in-law that firing the FBI director would be met with bi-partisan support from Democrats. Tone deaf anyone?

So, what does it take to turn this ship around? The options are many, but reality of invoking many of those options is small. Impeachment? So far, we know of no provable cause for impeachment plus there’s that pesky Republican majority in the Congress that would need to find him guilty if there were. Invoke the 25th Amendment? Unlikely in that it takes a majority of Trump’s Cabinet and his vice president to agree to invoke it and push him from power.

A loss of support from elected Republicans might do it. And that doesn’t seem likely in the near future. Plus, the GOP keeps winning special elections – one place to demonstrate the incumbent president's strength or lack of it.

My guess is there is close to a majority of Republicans in Congress who, in the silence and protection of their secret hiding places, wish Donald Trump would just go away. But, they can do nothing about it because, politically, he still has clout with the exact base of voters that put him in office and also put Republicans in control of both houses of Congress. Trump’s approval rating has been under water since he took office. Yet his support among is base has remained relatively stable.

Until that base accepts that he is not doing what they voted for – providing them with jobs, lowering their taxes, and providing them with better health care – they will remain supportive. And even if they realized he’s made no progress in any of those areas, they still will hold out hope because, among other things, they’ve given up on seeing Washington work, and they voted for Trump to make it work. To give up on him is to surrender to the powers that existed before, which weren’t working for them either.

After a year or two, they may see he isn’t the savior he alone said he was. “Only I can do it,” he promised. So far, he hasn’t delivered anything but some executive orders that don’t mean much and a budget that means a lot – of rollbacks of protections for the weakest among us, and of tax cuts for the most wealthy. And a Supreme Court justice who threatens other rights the American people have.

It will take the Republicans in Congress fleeing him to reduce his influence and that can only happen when those elected Republicans see their voters splitting away from Trump, and them.

There’s a special election coming up in Georgia, voting actually begins today. It is for the vacancy created when Tom Price joined Trump’s administration as secretary for health and human services.

The polls show it close, as all special elections have been thus far in the Trump year. But so far Republicans have held the seats. A Republican loss in Georgia would put some fears into incumbent congressmen, fears they could lose control of Congress and, worse for them, fears their personal defeat might be next. That’s what motivates elected officials – losing their seats.

The future of the country, as always, is in the hands of the voters – not the politicians. Call it trite, call it clichéd. But that’s what democracy does – puts power in the hands of the people. If they grab it.  As we did in the 60s.

Washington doesn’t work only because we’ve become polarized and politicians, for the most part, have cemented themselves in their positions – because that’s what gets them re-elected. Washington doesn’t work because the majority of voters have not put on the pressure they must to change things.

Trump can’t gain ground in the approval ratings but he doesn’t have to as long as he loses no ground. When his support there begins to fall, and Republicans in elected office take notice of it, only then will we see his ability to make change cease. And his change so far isn’t what he promised. It’s the opposite.

The Georgia special is one chance and only the current chance.  In a democracy, there are many chances. Make your views known – to your elected representatives, even if you didn’t elect them. Contribute to candidates whose support of Trump is non-existent or weak. Protest. Don't become complacent.

Let’s not let democracy fail because we failed democracy.


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Making journalism great again

5/22/2017

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One thing President Trump has succeeded at making great again: Journalism.

Recognizing that the White House Press Corps is not getting information it can trust from White House spokesmen – since the President will contradict his spokesmen an hour later and even warns the media that his people can’t keep up with him so don’t presume they even know the truth– the reporters are becoming more enterprising. And their colleagues not on the beat are becoming even more focused on keeping our elected officials honest.

This is a great thing, and I thank you, Mr. President, for bringing alive again a newspaper industry that has been struggling more and more as the Internet grows.

Print journalism, or its digitized progeny, is as good as it’s ever been. The last week alone has seen journalism on steroids. And it’s not only about the missteps, lies, tweets and childishness so often demonstrated by the President.

It’s the enterprising journalists digging and finding stories. It’s the Washington Post’s David Fahrenthold winning a Pulitzer Prize for his investigations of Trump’s boasts about his generosity and exposing his non-existent charity donations; it’s the throwback competition between the Post and The New York Times who daily are scooping each other, highlighted the other day when the two  newspapers’ produced a one-two punch  within  minutes --  one going public with its scoop on Trump bragging to the Russians in the Oval Office about his firing FBI Director Comey and the other reporting that the current FBI investigation has a “person of interest” close to Trump and on his White House staff.

I’ve been a fan of newspapers since I was a kid and spent more than 10 years of my career as a journalist and the rest of it interacting with journalists. I read papers daily, and start each morning with coffee, a bagel and the Post and the Times. I start reading between 6 and 7a.m. and it takes an hour most days to read the just the front section of the Post and 2-3 hours to read both papers. But that time suck is just since Trump took office. Previously, I spent about an hour, total, on both papers.

I, like many others, are obsessed with this presidency and read just about every word they publish.

But we must thank President Trump for making newspapers great again, if nothing else yet. Rather than pout about the stories, he should engage and, if the stories are wrong, show us why they’re wrong not just fall back on the easy “fake news” line that so many of his followers seem to accept. He belittles the story and diminishes the importance of a free press not just to we citizens but as an example to other countries of what makes our culture different.

And if there’s no there there when it comes to alleged collusion between his campaign and the Russians, he should welcome the special counsel, forget about it and get on with the job he was elected to do. If his campaign is innocent, that’s what the special counsel will find.

He should never have threatened to open up the libel laws and make it easier for him to sue the media – if he ever intended to do it – because that didn’t bully editors as I’m sure he intended but rather got their backs up. But it also began to settle the media back into its time-honored roll of keeping our elected officials honest. A good thing for us all.

We cannot survive as a country or a democracy without a free media – even if that comes with some downsides. Reporters aren’t always correct, but the good ones want to be and if they are wrong, they want to be shown where they are wrong. And, it will be corrected.

As Carl Bernstein, who won a Pulitzer Prize for his Watergate reporting with partner Bob Woodward, says, journalism is the best available version of the truth.

Mainstream reporters are not making stories up. They check, double check and check again their information and that’s before their editors engage for their review. Right and left-wing media not so much. They just want an angle that fits their “narrative” so a bit of truth will do.

But I trust the Washington Post, New York Times and their brothers and sisters in the mainstream media to be right more than wrong. I’ll take the few errors if that means getting more of the truth than the government is willing to give us.

President Trump, rather than berating and belittling the media, should be welcoming the scrutiny if he’s done nothing wrong.  

You, Mr. President, can prove them wrong by doing the job you promised to do – creating new jobs, righting the wrongs of trade agreements and ridding the world of terrorists, among other things.

You do that, Mr. President, and the voters will reward you. You do not need to “win” every news cycle – you need to lead the country to a better place.

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What are the options to dump Trump?

5/16/2017

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“Air Force One,” a 1997 movie starring Harrison Ford as the President of the U.S. and Glenn Close as  his Vice President, is about terrorists taking over Air Force One and holding the president hostage until their demand – release from prison of a real bad-guy terrorist  -- is met.

During the plot of this movie, the imaginary president’s Cabinet circulates a letter declaring the president unable to perform his duties and, thus, the Glenn Close- character would become Acting President. Even though the letter has the required number of Cabinet signatures, when it comes time for her to sign “Vice President” Close puts the letter in a drawer, presumably to show faith in the president escaping but also, maybe, because in her fictional vice president’s mind, she knew the constitutional crisis that would be created if she signed the letter herself and the political firestorm that would ensue.

The Constitutional amendment under which that fictional Cabinet tried to take action is not fictional. The 25th Amendment lays out ways to replace a president from  physical  incapacity or death to ability to perform the duties. The Amendment, adopted in the years after President Kennedy’s assassination, mostly deals with the more likely scenarios of a President dying in office or, less likely, being in a coma or, in President George W. Bush’s case, while he was sedated and undergoing a colonoscopy.

Article 4 of the 25th Amendment, never used, lays out  how, if the President is “unable to discharge the powers and duties of his office,” the Vice President becomes Acting President after a majority of the Cabinet and the Vice President sign a letter saying he is unable to perform his duties and they notify the Congress.

Congress then has a short period of time, during which the Vice President becomes Acting President, to debate and vote on the situation, which also gives the President time to appeal.

With a Republican House and Senate and Cabinet members appointed by Trump, the likelihood of this scenario is minimal. Taking action to impeach the President is not to accuse him of a crime – in this case the measure is “high crimes and misdemeanors” which the framers considered an abuse of power.

Clearly there are huge political undertones if this ever were to occur and the process is rightfully wrought with them so coups are not so easily undertaken in our form of government.

Folks, I presume, are looking at that amendment with the short tenure of President Trump including such things that are within his authority but questionable in his actions:

  • Firing the FBI chief who is overseeing an investigation of the president’s campaign for collusion with Russia
  • His silly lies
  • Alleged violations of the emolument clause
  • Providing highly classified information to our adversary (the Russians)
  • Saying he’d be “honored” to meet with North Korea’s dictatorial and murderous head of state
  • Praising dictators while snubbing our closest allies
  • Charging President Obama wiretapped him
  • Establishing a commission to investigate voter fraud that doesn’t exist
  • Implying he is taping Oval Office meetings and blackmailing, in a tweet, the former FBI director with making those alleged tapes public

Well, you get the idea, and I’m trying to keep this brief.

No one will talk in public about their reviews of this amendment, I’m sure, because the consequences of even a discussion of the issue would have on the country and our international standing, not to mention that it would mobilize Trump’s still-strong base of voters who still believe he will keep his promises to provide good jobs.

The likelihood of a majority of Trump’s Cabinet signing a letter saying the President is mentally disturbed and should be replaced is next to nil. To think Vice President Pence, the ultimate loyalist who has been sent out to, knowingly or unknowingly, lie for the President is not one to act hastily either.

As we all try to absorb the reality of most of his actions, comments and tweets, the only conclusion we can hold on to is that he must have mental health issues because no sane person would have our government in such chaos. For us to stay sane we must think he is insane.

The likelihood of impeachment with a GOP-controlled House and Senate is nearly impossible. But that’s another reason the 2018 mid-term elections are very important. If the Democrats were to win a majority in the House, they would have the power to begin impeachment proceedings, which would need 51 percent of members supporting it. The House charges, or indicts, the President but the Senate finds him guilty or not. In the Senate, it takes a 2/3’s majority to find him guilty thus Republicans would have to join Democrats in finding him guilty.

It’s another reason Trump has to maintain strong support among Republicans in Congress – they would control the findings in the Senate whether they are in the majority or not.

But the option is out there. We are in month five of Trump’s tenure and some have questioned his mental health long before this.

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More are beginning to realize he isn't wearing clothes

5/11/2017

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How this latest controversy - firing the FBI director - created by President Trump resolves itself is anyone’s guess. No one knows for sure, especially with an Administration that doesn’t play by any traditional rules.

This morning, many are saying this won’t be properly resolved unless Republicans on the Hill jump from Trump’s ship and act more like the late Sen. Howard Baker did during Watergate – asking the key question of, “what did the President know and when did he know it.”

I think it will take that – and there are candidates up there for this role including folks like Sen. John McCain, Sen. Lindsey Graham, Sen. Richard Burr and others; and, Cong. Jason Chaffetz, chair of the House Intelligence Committee who has already said he isn’t running again and may resign before his term is up, so has nothing to lose – and a diminution of Trump’s support among his famous “base.”

Evidence of the latter is beginning to appear. The latest Quinnipiac poll shows 51 percent of Americans “strongly disapproving” of Trump’s performance, and that’s before the Comey firing occurred. Chewing more deeply into the poll’s numbers – info in the “cross tabs” ‘as they’re called – the President’s favorability slipped among some demographics that helped him win the election. And that includes white voters without college degrees, a core base of Trump’s support.

Steps to seriously challenge this President’s behavior and actions were never going to happen before he began to lose support with Republicans on the Hill and his base support began to fall off. Both are beginning to happen now.

We are about 110 days into the Trump presidency and his quirky behavior is mounting up. We can barely remember some of the “atrocities” – as his deputy press secretary called Comey’s shortcoming – since he took the oath:

  • Arguing against clear evidence that he had fewer folks at his inauguration than President Obama (as if it matters)
  • Alleging that Obama wiretapped his New York City headquarters during the campaign, without a shred of evidence
  • Announcing his “historic” tax reduction plans via a one-page list of several things he’d do, with no specifics
  • Promising “health care for all” and delivering a proposal even a Republican-dominated House could not take plausible enough to vote on
  • His “Muslim ban,” as he called it during the campaign, which was greeted by the courts by blocking it because of its constitutionality
  • And his famous “big, beautiful wall” along the Mexican border to control immigration, which has yet to find traction on the Hill
And that’s only a few of the things that have happened.

While Trump’s mostly ill-advised actions thus far as President have been bad, firing the FBI director is the one that truly is the biggest threat to our democracy.  

Maybe he deserved to lose his job. There certainly is a good case for that. The honorable way – and more politically advantageous – would have been to meet with Comey and tell him you are going to fire him but wanted to give him a chance to resign.

The President of the United States firing an FBI director because the president is trying to kill an investigation into his campaign’s alleged collusion with Russia is a huge threat to our democracy, if he’s allowed to get away with it. And to, the next day, be photographed by the Russian “press” (because Trump wouldn’t allow in the American media) laughing it up with their foreign minister and ambassador in the Oval Office, well – you really can’t make this stuff up.

If it all ever was “funny,” it’s not funny anymore.

Finally, the leaks are just beginning from his Administration. The FBI action will broaden and speed them up. They won’t be leaks, they’ll be gushers. The Washington Post this morning ran a story on Trump in which it said it spoke to 30 sources who didn’t want to be identified. Thirty!

Trump can yell “fake news” all he wants but, as time goes by, more and more people will believe outlets like the Post and The New York Times, as they have in the past,  and his support will continue to fall off. Especially when coupled with the realization that he is not delivering on his promises.

We are beginning to see his base fall off, as he fails to deliver on the promises they believed – control immigration, create jobs, not cater to the wealthy, hire Goldman Sachs executives to advise you and never show us your taxes.

His base support may include many people who aren’t educated but they aren’t stupid.


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Trump cannot become the new normal

5/9/2017

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As the world knows now, President Trump’s relationship with the truth is not strong.

Lately, to try to get attention off an issue most of us have put on the back burner until it's resolved -- the pending FBI and Congressional investigations into Russia’s influencing our presidential election - he blames the Obama Administration for giving Trump’s fired National Security Advisor, retired Lt. Gen. “Mike” Flynn, his security clearance. Every time something negative comes up about Flynn, Trump tweets, in effect, nothing to see here, it was Obama’s fault again.

According to the Washington Post’s Fact Checker that isn’t correct. Flynn’s clearance, the Fact Checker writes, “Was a routine matter.” Flynn was fired by Obama from leading the Defense Intelligence Agency (DIA) but the practice there is that former directors keep a clearance so the sitting director can have a discussion with the former director if required.

The clearance comes up for renewal every five years and Flynn’s was renewed in January 2016. That clearance, according to DIA, was only for Defense Department matters. It did not allow Flynn, for example, to go to other agencies asking for classified information.

At the time also, Flynn was not in the political world. That came later as Trump’s candidacy matured and Flynn became a close and very public national security advisor to the campaign, even speaking at the Republican National Convention. Flynn also was  considered as Trump’s vice presidential running mate.

President Obama, two days after the election, warned Trump about putting Flynn in his administration. Best I can tell, that wasn’t based on concerns over Flynn’s alleged coziness to Russia but more about judgements Obama made on Flynn's competence as a manager and his integrity as an advisor.

Trump seems to think everything in Washington is decided based on partisan politics. He seems to think, for example, that former Acting Attorney General Sally Yates advised his White House about Flynn because of politics. She was, after all, the Obama appointed deputy attorney general. Before that, though, she was a more than two decade civil servant who rose through the ranks based on performance, not partisan politics.

(And let's remember, she was informing the White House that Flynn had compromised himself and was subject to Russian blackmail based on lies he had told Vice President Pence and that Pence passed to the nation via national interviews. In short: She told the White House its national security advisor could be blackmailed by Russia. Read that sentence again if that reality hasn't settled in. And, still, it took 18 days and a Washington Post story to get Trump to force out Flynn.)

Trump’s continual linking of “fake news” to pointing a finger at someone else instead of at himself, or his transition team, also continues a drip-drip-drip of credibility. Even those who voted for him and still support him think he plays loose with the truth. Republican congressmen also hold him at arm's length, not wanting to alienate Trump voters for their own reelection purposes.

That diminution of his credibility piles up if he decides, for example, to launch an attack on North Korea. He needs Americans behind any such action, as history has shown us.
Trump’s short-fuse and personality-need to never take blame for anything, in the long run, is a bad strategy for the President of the United States. It may have worked for him as he was building his image in New York City and its tabloids,  but it won't work in Washington.

President Trump seems to think the New York Times and Washington Post are akin to the New York tabloids gossip writers who Trump catered to when he was the wolf of New York and who are more malleable when it comes to getting a story line in the media. But those tabloid story lines were aimed at building Trump as a personality, a man about town and New York City player, a far easier task that portraying him as a  strong, knowledgeable leader of the world's dominant country.

The Times and Post reporters don't exist simply to parrot any president's spin. Their job is to get to the truth. As Pulitzer Prize winner Carl Bernstein of Watergate fame put it recently, "Underlying everything reporters do is pursuing the best attainable version of the truth."   Trump undermines a key institution in the United States – the mainstream media – so he can cover his own ass and not keep in mind the long-term health and reputation of this nation.

He is on very dangerous territory and we cannot fall victim to his lies and misdirection nor can we accept his behavior as the new normal.


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Enough already of all the winning!

5/2/2017

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It took me a couple of days before I could begin to absorb the fact that President Trump, in one day:
  • Rewrote the history of the Civil War
  • Invited to the White House the leader of a country who has overseen the murder of 7,000 of his citizens for allegedly being involved in the drug trade without arrest or trial
  • Said he’d be “honored” to meet with the leader of North Korea who is literally getting the U.S. in his nuclear sights
  • Lied about covering those with pre-existing conditions in  his Obamacare replacement
  • Delivered what may be the most offensive, revolting, dishonest and un-presidential  speech a President has ever given to conclude his first 100 days in office, complete with his calls to “get him outta here” when a protestor tried to interrupt him. That from the leader of the most open country the face of the earth has even seen
  • Childishly dissing and dismissing from the Oval Office a major network and widely acknowledged as decent and fair newsman – John Dickerson of CBS --  for  having the audacity to press him on an issue Trump himself raised in the interview (his phony claim of President Obama wiretapping his campaign headquarters)
  • His administration raising, again, that they are looking into changing the libel laws so the President can more easily sue news outlets who produce stories he doesn't like
If I’m omitting anything, apologies. All of the above was within about 24 hours of real time and I’m having so much trouble absorbing each one individually that as a group they are more mind-bending than those drugs my generation experimented with in the 60s.

These meetings he says he’d have are with: the Philippine leader who received an official verbal invite from Trump that the Filipino despot now says he might be too busy to accept;  and with North Korea’s power-hungry, blood thirsty dictator Kim Jong Un - who had his half-brother killed in fears he might lead a revolt against him in addition to having many others murdered to protect  his reign.

Riddle me this: Did you ever think you’d see the leader of the Philippines blow off a White House invite proffered directly by the President? Rodrigo Duterte, wins either way: he blows it off and shows he doesn’t need the United States or he accepts and is greeted as a legitimate leader by the President of the United States.

And now Trump is praising China’s president who leads a country Trump had marked as America’s public enemy number one on trade during his campaign. China, he told us again and again, is "raping" us. Now he says the Chinese leader “likes” him and he “likes” the Chinese leader, as if serving as President of the United States is the same as collecting as many “likes” as you can on Facebook.

Trump may, to give him as much rein as possible, believe that his overtures to these (and other) despots are a new way to gain leverage in world affairs but it has the opposite effect on the world stage, with some friends of ours slow walking away from the U.S. as its leader.

This is a far cry from the policy of the Reagan Administration which was that no meeting, at any level, be held with a Russian official without bringing up specific names of political prisoners Russia was holding and demanding their release.  This was done to protest Russia’s anti-human rights practices and done without fanfare to try to assure results were achieved.

Now 102 days into the Trump presidency, we see him asking to meet with leaders of countries with the worst human rights records on earth. Despots seem to be his preferred allies and our allies seem to be his preferred targets to attack. The world truly is upside down, at least the world according to Trump.

The speech he gave Saturday night was the same he would give on the campaign trail when it seemed his chances of winning the election were slim to nil so he had nothing to lose. It was a speech aimed at a slice of the population, not the entire country that he now “leads.” He did nothing in that speech to bring the country together, the political parties together or even outline to his “base” why they might need to move toward the middle on some issues as much as the “other side” needs to meet them there.  Another promise he made was to bring the country together, not push us further apart.

His supporters still have not seen a sign of all the “winning” their candidate promised. His self-acclaimed negotiating prowess turns out to be as big as his hands. He has won nothing so far, other than getting a Supreme Court nominee approved (with an assist from the Senate changing its rules to make it possible) and sown chaos in the small territory that should be his to control fully – the White House compound.

He caved on NAFTA, he caved on  his budget demands, he joined those waving the white flag on Obamacare repeal-and-replace and after having derided President Obama for governing by Executive Order, Trump now treats his signing of such orders on the order of signing major legislation, more a photo opp than a governing opp, replete with handing out the "historic pens". Now, personally, I’m pleased he’s caved on most of those but then again, I didn’t vote for his promises.

I get how his “base” bought into him because they were tired of the same ol’, same ol’ in Washington and there was no way Hillary Clinton would drain that swamp. He holds tight to polls that show he has not lost any of  his base (40-45 percent of the country). But I ask those who voted for him to honestly assess his time in office. Not based on what legislation he’s gotten passed, not based on the pride U.S. citizens should have in their president but on these question that are fully in his power and not subject to   opposition. Until his base starts to peel off, he will not change his methods. So consider these basic questions:
  • Who he has appointed to Cabinet posts. Many of them are heading departments they want to abolish
  • How he has not kept out of his administration, as promised, those dreaded Washington lobbyists (many waivers have been given to allow them to serve)
  • How he has about-faced on his attacks on big business leaders and now has almost more of them in his Cabinet than still reside on Wall Street
  • How many promises he has backed away from
I mean, really, are you tired – or even a bit wary – of so much winning already?

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    B. Jay Cooper

    B. Jay is a former deputy White House press secretary to Presidents Reagan and George H.W. Bush. He also headed the communications offices at the Republican National Committee, U.S. Department of Commerce, and Yale University. He is a former reporter and is the retired deputy managing director of APCO Worldwide's Washington, D.C., office.
    He is the father of three daughters and grandfather of five boys and one girl. He lives in Marion, Mass.

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