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The Screaming Moderate

Time to get serious about who will be commander in chief

11/15/2015

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The other day Donald Trump went a little nuts – I know, it’s hard to discern from his normal behavior – when he called the people of Iowa stupid because so many, meaning more than support Trump now, are supporting Ben Carson for president. I’ll leave the answer to that question of whether Trump is nuts for another time, but – really?—a presidential candidate asking if voters are stupid?

Put that silliness together with the seriousness of what happened in Paris this weekend and I’m hoping that will end this flirtation some voters are having with two men who in no way are qualified to be President of the United States. I have more respect for the voters in Iowa than to ever have thought they would actually vote for Trump or Carson.  But now, in the aftermath of Paris, to carry on this flirtation with them is an insult to the rest of the world which will count on the U.S. for leadership as the battle against terrorists ramps up.

These bastards who killed and wounded hundreds in Paris – and have committed similar atrocities around the world, including this country – need to be stopped. I wish I knew how, but that’s why other people who are smarter than I am militarily exist. And let me tell you something, those people are not Donald Trump or Ben Carson, whose meandering answers to all questions is just silly and unresponsive and shows his lack of understanding of what being an elected local official is, let alone the President of the United States.

Trump, who may well be the best negotiator who ever walked this Earth as he claims, doesn’t get that that is not what qualifies anyone to be President. And negotiating with the local officials in Florida to get your multi-gazillion dollar and room mansion accepted as a club does not qualify you either. These terrorists aren’t looking to negotiate. They just want to kill. And Trump saying he’ll blow them to smithereens by first blowing up the oil fields they now control is folly. That is not a strategy, that’s a sound bite.

The “fun” is over. If this attack in Paris doesn’t wake up the voters who say they support these two men then I don’t know what will. Personally, I have confidence in the voters. Now is when Trump and Carson’s numbers will, in my estimation, start to go down. Hyperbole is not an effective weapon against terrorists. They really don’t care about rhetoric, or haven’t we noticed? These people believe – in what I don’t understand -- but they believe in it 1000 percent.
These people do not follow modern day logic, reason or morals. They kill.  This isn’t about religion – what religion preaches killing and rape?  These people rape. They kill and rape. They kill and rape children.  No religion teaches that. These are extremist who want to end Western life as it exists.

The day before the Paris attack every normal thinking person in the world wondered: will it happen where I live The day after, that no longer is the question. The question is when.

Time to get serious about the next commander in chief.

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GOP campaign: Now the rubber hits the road

11/11/2015

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Last night’s Republican presidential debate will not move the numbers much at all.

It was a “draw” in some respects. This one did a little better than that one. No one had a “big moment."

Rubio’s performance was impressive but he still looks too young (to be totally superficial). Trump seems to have hit the wall in his “I win,” “people like me,” “I’m the best (fill in the blank)” mantra. And by the way, Carly, he didn’t even say he met Putin in the “60 Minutes” Green Room, he said that they both were in the same episode, which to Trump apparently passes for a meaningful relationship.

 And Carson’s low-key personality just isn’t going to cut it in the minds of what folks view as their president, especially in this media focused (from TV to social media) society.

Bush looked stronger than he has. To me, though, it will serve as more of confidence builder for Bush as we now head into the more meaningful days of the primary campaign when his confidence level can translate into votes. Carly Fiorina had a good debate, two debates ago. She seems angry and who wants an angry president? We want someone who we think is better than we are. Someone with aspirations. Her aspiration seems to be beating Hillary Clinton, not leading the country.

There will be no more GOP debates for five weeks – smack in the middle of holiday season when folks have other things taking up their time and focus. Now is when the down and dirty of organization politics matter. Carson and Trump, despite what they may say, do not have organizations that can rival Bush or Cruz or Rubio. While Trump and Carson may lead the polls in Iowa and New Hampshire, no votes have been cast yet and saying “I like him” to a pollster is different than casting your vote in public (in Iowa) or giving a candidate the major boost that New Hampshire always is. Will New Hampshire want to be known as the state that thrust Trump into the “OMG he is a real possibility” category? I don’t think so.

Jeb had to hang in until this point in the campaign when debates fade in the background and on-the-ground politicking takes over. He has the money and the experience and the organization where this should be his strong time in the campaign.

Trump’s visibility will go down – no more debates for a while and you can only host Saturday Night Live once in a campaign, and he bombed at that once. His act is getting boring. My guess is his Sunday show appearances start to decline, too. How many times can you say the same thing when you're running for president?  So now he has to compete a bit in the area of policy – not a place he has shown any strength at all, except to say he’ll drive 11 million immigrants to the border and say, “see ya…but you can come back.” Such a policy!

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How to handle a presidential candidate bully

11/4/2015

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Picture
This argument among the Republican presidential candidates and TV networks reminds me of an incident when I was 15 years old.

There was this kid, let’s call him “Buster,” who had bullied me for five years. Always teasing, always seemingly trying to provoke me into a fight. Always picking me last in pickup basketball or baseball games.  I’m not sure what I ever did for him to pick on me, but I sure must have done something.

Anyway, I turned my other cheek every time. Why? Well, he was bigger, tougher, more experienced at fighting (since I’d had zero fights, that wasn’t hard) and I was always taught that fighting is not the answer.
But I’d had it this time. He just got to me this time. We had to put an end to it.

So, I said, “Buster, let’s do it…let’s go!” He raised his fists as if to throw a punch and I said, “Wait...we need to negotiate some rules first.” He replied, “WTF.” Although in those days, we used the words not the acronyms.

I said, “Rules. The first rule is, we’ll use boxing gloves.” He replied, “WTF?”

I said, “The second rule is that since you’re taller than me by five inches, you have to fight on your knees to equalize height and reach between us.” Now Buster was getting angry and he said, “WTF?”

Yes, I said, "If you hit me five times, you have to drop your fists while I hit you five times to even things up."

I said, “Also, I can’t do much about you being 25 pounds heavier than I am except that you will have to pull your punches so when we hit each other, the punches have equal intensity and you don’t have an advantage.” This really got to Buster and he said, “WTF? Is that all?”

I said, one more thing:

We will have five-minute opening statements.


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Blatant Self-Promotion

11/2/2015

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But what is a blog if not a narcissistic activity, here to promote one's own "brand"?

This post is about a new book my wife, Chris Black and I wrote about my old boss Malcolm Baldrige called "Mac Baldrige: The Cowboy in Ronald Reagan's Cabinet" which is now out and available on Amazon and Barnes & Noble. It also will be featured, for our DC friends, at the National Press Club's Annual Book Fair on Nov. 17 at the Club in Washington, D.C. Information on the fair and the books whose authors will be there is here: https://www.press.org/bookfair. A great spot to find gifts -- books signed by the authors -- for that hard -to-buy for friend or relative.

For those in the Waterbury, Conn., area -- site of the world headquarters for Baldrige's old company, Scovill Inc., and my home town -- the local Chamber of Commerce and Post University, where the Baldrige School of Business  is located, are co-hosting a lunch on Nov. 20. Info on that is here: http://web.waterburychamber.com/events/Book-Launch-Celebration-for-Mac-Baldrige-The-Cowboy-in-Ronald-Reagan's-Cabinet-2254/details

Chris and I will be at both events as will Mac's daughters, Molly and Megan, who commissioned the book which originally was intended to be self-published for their children, most of whom never knew Mac. The book, though, has been published by Lyons Press, which has published several of Chris books. It focuses on Mac's tenure as secretary of commerce, a time when "globalization" was just being understood in this country, and Mac was a primary architect of this country's economic and trade policy.

Below is a story that the Waterbury Republican carried yesterday on the book:

Reagan's 'cowboy'
Baldrige subject of new book
BY TRACEY O'SHAUGHNESSY | REPUBLICAN-AMERICAN

 Early in his administration, Ronald Reagan was asked if he knew real visionaries.

Reagan named two: former U.S. Ambassador Jeannie Kirkpatrick and Commerce Secretary Malcolm "Mac" Baldrige.

Baldrige, the former CEO of Scovill Inc. in Waterbury, served as Reagan's commerce secretary from 1981 until his death in a rodeo accident in 1987. In their new book, "Mac Baldrige: The Cowboy in Ronald Reagan's Cabinet" (Lyons Press, $24.95) Chris Black and B. Jay Cooper tell the story of that bright, plain-speaking, direct man, an unlikely cabinet secretary who became one of the biggest engineers of the Reagan economic revolution.

"He was unlikely because he wasn't a nationally known figure per se," said Cooper. "He wasn't a huge fundraiser for the Republican party. He became commerce secretary because Vice President George H.W. Bush had one cabinet pick and he picked Mac for commerce."

"He wasn't a pol," said Black. "He was completely involved in the business world. The biggest thing was that he wasn't a Reagan guy. He was the only Bush guy in the Reagan cabinet.

The book, released this month, was initially a pet product of Baldrige's two daughters, Molly and Meagan, who had intended to self-publish it for their children. But once Black's publisher, Rowman & Littlefield, got wind of the project, he knew it could command a larger audience.

Reagan nominated Baldrige in December 1980, and he was confirmed by the U.S. Senate on Jan. 22, 1981. During his tenure, Baldrige played a major role in developing and carrying out Reagan's trade policy.

"Because the U.S. had been lucky in World War II, U.S. business had been lucky without having competition. So when competition started to come, they were completely unprepared," said Black, a former Boston Globe reporter.

"Globalization was not a term people used in 1980 but the impact of globalization was beginning to be felt," said Black, who has been married to Cooper for 11 years.

By 1980, a lot of jobs were beginning to be moved oversees. And Western Europe and Japan, which had been economically devastated after the war, were beginning to catch up. Japan began to surpass the U.S. in high tech, cars, computers, electronics. People were horrified, Black said, because the U.S. had emerged from World War II as the world's only economic superpower; but, because of that, U.S. industry, was "fat, dumb and happy."

That phrase was one Baldrige employed in his description of American manufacturing. When Baldrige, a Nebraska native who attended the Hotchkiss School and Yale, became CEO of Scovill in 1963, the company had sales of $169.3 million and profits of $4.4 million. Baldrige cut salary overhead by $3 million

"He wanted accountability, he wanted to hire the best people they could, give them their reins, but give you the opportunity to use the creativity you had. He gave you a brain to make mistakes," Cooper said. Under his management, he diversified the company. "Scovill had been the brass mill. He saw that brass was not going to be a forever thing." He bought Hamilton Beach, Yale Lock and Nutone ceiling fans.

When Reagan came to the White House, the Cold War was still at its height. When it came to policies, Reagan, said Black, instinctively sided on policies that put a priority on national security.

But Baldrige, concerned about a growing trade imbalance, repeatedly urged that American businesses sell their products overseas. At a time of widespread budget cutting in the administration, within the Commerce Department Baldrige reduced the budget by more than 30 percent and administrative personnel by 25 percent.

"He was one of the biggest advocates in the administration for being a little more liberal with exports," said Cooper. "There were examples, like computers, which were just beginning to come into the American psyche. Mac was saying, 'Look, they can buy them anyway, from the Germans and the French.' We were competing with other companies for these contracts and if they weren't getting them from us they we going to get them from someone else."

"The hard liners in the administration, they didn't want to sell toothpicks to the Russians," Cooper said. "And Mac fought that. And Reagan would choose the middle ground. They were both common sense guys. Reagan has this image of this hard-line, right-wing nut. And he wasn't. Reagan had a very practical approach to government. It's not like the politics of today. In those days, you had guys who would make deals. Mac was one of the best at that. And in those days, a Republican cabinet member could get along with the Democratic congressman and Mac did that."

Baldrige, a skilled team roper and card-carrying member of the Professional Rodeo Cowboys Association, was a stickler for clear, precise prose. In 1984, the U.S. Department of Commerce published "How Plain English Works for Business: Twelve Case Studies" with his introduction. In it were 12 chapters on how "translations" of complex legal wording or bureaucratic jargon could be simplified for any reader.

Cooper, a Waterbury native, started at the Republican and the American in 1969 as an intern. After graduating from Northeastern University, the newspaper hired him to cover the town of Woodbury. He met Baldrige there. In 1978, Cooper took a leave of absence to run a political campaign. Two years later, Baldrige asked him to run the communications operations in the Reagan-Bush campaign.

Black, who grew up in Woburn, Mass., worked for the Boston Globe for 20 years as a political reporter based in Boston and Washington, D.C. She later worked for CNN as a White House and congressional correspondent. She was laid off when AOL bought CNN. She has subsequently worked as a strategic communications consulting and now writes books.

As for the relationship between Reagan and Baldrige, Cooper said, "They bonded because Mac was a very practical guy and spoke plainly. And Reagan was that kind of guy, too. They bonded over horses and cowboy life. It was the matter-of-fact way Mac thought. He was as comfortable with cowboys as he was with major foreign officials."

Though often thought to be composed of hard-line purists, Black said, "In fact, the administration, day to day, was much, much more practical than I appreciated. What I was surprised by was how effective Mac Baldrige was and this practical approach to trade and economic policies became Reagan's way."

Baldrige was an advocate of quality management as a key to U.S. prosperity and sustainability. After he died, Congress named an award for him in recognition of his contributions. The goal of the Malcolm Baldrige National Quality Improvement Act of 1987 was to enhance the competitiveness of U.S. businesses. Its scope has since been expanded to health care and education organizations (in 1999) and to nonprofit/government organizations (in 2007).

Cooper was worried he could write the "honest and candid" portrayal of Baldrige. "I'm sure he had enemies, especially in the government. But nobody said a bad word about the guy," he said.

"Because he wasn't a petty guy, nobody ever took it personally. He didn't have that ego at all," he added

As they write, "Mac thoroughly earned his reputation as a man of quiet strength, impeccable integrity, solid judgment and practical action; an honorable and decent man in the best American cowboy tradition."

Contact Tracey O'Shaughnessy at tosh@rep-am.com.
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    B. Jay Cooper

    B. Jay is a former deputy White House press secretary to Presidents Reagan and George H.W. Bush. He also headed the communications offices at the Republican National Committee, U.S. Department of Commerce, and Yale University. He is a former reporter and is the retired deputy managing director of APCO Worldwide's Washington, D.C., office.
    He is the father of three daughters and grandfather of five boys and one girl. He lives in Marion, Mass.

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